August 15, 2019
A preliminary analysis by Amani Elobeid, adjunct assistant professor, concludes the effect of China's struggle with the African Swine Fever epidemic on soybean prices may be modest, according to a story on National Public Radio August 15.
"According to the analysis by Elobeid and Miguel Carriquiry, at the University of the Republic in Uruguay, a 30% cut in China's pork production could reduce the price of soy meal by 3 to 5%. In an email to NPR, however, they noted that the analysis 'is VERY preliminary and should be used with caution.'"