Bond yield curves in negative territory

Question:

I just saw this quote in Seeking Alpha by "Goldmoney": "Entire AAA-rated bond yield curves are likely to be forced into negative territory, following the Swiss government bond market, which is already there. The denial of time-value will mean a government bond with no final redemption date priced at less than infinity will be technically a bargain. That is the measure of distortion." My background is statistics. I'm trying to teach myself economics. Thanks in advance.

Answer:

The unusually shaped yield curve was in the news the other day. But it was attributed to the Fed buying 10-year T-notes, which temporarily lowered their yields relative to notes/bonds with shorter maturity. It sounds to me the quote cited by the author tries to extrapolate and make a statement about “perpetual” government bonds (“consoles”), which is not something governments are presently issuing. It is a problematic statement subject to the classical “Lucas critique.”

Answered by
Last updated on
July 31, 2020

Explore Our Programs

Interested in more answers or studying in the Department of Economics?