Ask an Economist

Question:
Please advise my going to become an economist. I was an average mathematics major as an undergraduate with a G.P.A. of 3.19 overall with a bachelor's degree in applied mathematics. I have about the average IQ for economists, but I know nothing about economics. Now that I am 41 this year, I am thinking of starting anew in a brand new area of applied mathematics. Is this advisable this late in life to switch careers from mathematics to economics given that the two share a common bond in mathematical economics and are theoretical in microeconomics?

Would the transition be better if I pursued pure mathematics instead, because my experiences has been lately in proof making? What can I look forward to? How and what should I be looking into, to start off, if economics is a good choice? I am a highly curious person. Plus, I have worked hard, I have been doing pure mathematics on my own since 2004 until presently; but, it has been slow going; so, I thought that by going into something that has a better return in investments of my intellectual energy, I should try microeconomics?
Answer:

The prospect of a mid-life career change would be daunting for anyone.  In the end, you’ll have to make that difficult decision on your own.  But I can give you a few tips on how you might begin to explore whether a career in economics...

Question:
A commodity (let's say a vegetable like squash or tomato) that is grown in Mexico and transported to the US and is being sold at 1.29/lb.
After about a month when the commodity has less than 2 weeks of shelf life it may be sold at .69/lb and then discarded after another week.

1) Why would the store not further discount these items at let's say .30/lb to clear the complete stock? ( I understand it is so as not to let the global/US prices of the commodity go down.)
2) Is wasting better for the store than to sell it at a discount?
3) Even if customers stop buying fresh commodity and start to wait until the price goes down to .30/lb. Isn't it economically profitable to the store to actually sell it than waste it ?

Thanks
Answer:

Food waste arises from preferences, incentives, and constraints. Retailers have time and other resource constraints which implies that it simply will not be worth it to sell every last item of food in every instance. It can be said that there is...

Question:
Hi there,

Okay, so this is going to be a really stupid question but I need to know the answer to this. There is a message board about collecting video games and we got into a argument about the definition of the word "rarity." With these games, we all know the exact amount of copies printed for each title. Say Game A has 2000 copies printed and Game B has 5000 copies printed. Assuming that no copies are lost or destroyed, Game A will always be rarer, correct? Someone else is arguing that the availability of copies on the secondary market changes this.

If Game A has 20 copies available on the marketplace right now and Game B only has 2 copies, would Game B be considered to be rarer overall? At that moment in time, sure, but overall, I would say no. Are either of us correct? Would the monetary value of the game on the secondary market change the definition of rarity? Thanks for your time!
Answer:

In the strictest (or standard) sense of the word, you would be correct that game A is “rarer”, given that there are fewer of these in existence than game B. However, the other person is not totally wrong because, in the words of economists, the “...

Question:
I received my undergraduate degree in economics, with a hard focus on higher level and more mathematics. I did well with most everything up to advanced mathematics and real numerical analysis. I struggled greatly with those, much more than the others - and I'm not sure if I learned them well at all. So, with that kind of experience, should I consider applying to PhD programs in economics or calling it off, as all of my advisers told me "If you can't handle this, you won't make it to Christmas in a PhD program"?
Answer:

You are correct that modern economics requires a high degree of facility with mathematics, including probability and statistics.  The requirements for mathematical proficiency will vary somewhat from program to program.  That said,...

Question:
I hope this email finds you well, I've heard a rumor on the web that the when a country's name includes the word "United" it adds to the country's success, examples such as the United Kingdom, the United States, and the United Arab Emirates, my question here is, can a country reach its success potential even if "United" is not in its name such as Canada, Australia, etc.? Maybe it has something to do with the way that country is governed? Thank you.
Answer:

Thank you for bringing this rumor to our attention.  First, it would be helpful to understand what you mean by “a country’s success” or “potential”.  I suspect you may be referring to a country’s growth in income (growth in GDP/economic...

Question:
Are there any positive effects of applying tariffs? Everything I hear in the news makes them seem like they are an objectively bad idea and are always a poor choice. If they’re so bad, why does China retaliate with their own tariffs when we apply tariffs to them? Would it not be better to just shrug them off and ignore them? Or respond in some other way?
Answer:

Tariffs, like many government policies, have both costs and benefits.  As your questions points out, we have heard much about the costs of tariffs in the ongoing trade disputes.  But there are also benefits that accrue.  For...

Question:
Hi, I am a nursing recruiter and am experiencing what I think might qualify as a cartel - I was curious of your opinion. Travel Nursing is a large business where hospitals pay recruiting firms to staff RNs by contract. The bill rates with the hospitals are negotiated in multiyear contracts, whereas the nurses negotiate their pay with the recruiter company per contract (typically 3 months at a time).

This has been quite an efficient market for many years until recently when the nurses started to compare pay for contracts on Facebook groups. Currently a group called Gypsy Travel RNs was created by an ex-nurse to help travel RNs find travel jobs - it has over 20,000 members.

Part of the information now being shared by the RNs is their pay package details quoted to them by the recruiter before accepting an assignment. They will compare what others are being paid and seek the opinion of any person in the group who makes an effort to respond, which is usually responded with "pay too low!"

Every person in this system acts on their own knowledge of the market. However, having hundreds of other RNs injecting their own views of an offer (accurate or not) seems to be artificially inflating the RNs side of the market, which drives up the costs for the hospital side.

It could be argued this is what other consumers do for other large purchases that might be negotiated. However, there are no established Facebook groups with 20,000+ home buyers all currently active at the same time in the market comparing offered prices.

These types of groups keep growing - would you consider this type of system a cartel? It this even legal?
Answer:

Let me first state that I cannot answer the legal part of the question. Antitrust litigations often involve economists to show empirical evidence of abuse of market power and to determine the extent of damage the cartel has caused to consumers...

Question:
My question is thus, If the U.S. has millions of jobs needing employees, how can any president take credit for the number of jobs being filled? i.e., Millions of unfilled jobs and people finally decided to fill those positions then obviously no president forced them to apply. So how can a president suddenly take credit for people deciding to rejoin the job market. Am I missing something here? The question is in reference to job growth vs millions already available jobs.

Additionally, when the job numbers are released, does it account for individuals working two jobs to make ends meet?
Answer:

Politicians can claim credit for whatever they want – and typically they do claim credit for everything that looks good and blame everything that looks bad on their opponents. 

The more pressing question is whether they should take...

Question:
My sister and I were trustees for our Mom's estate that was a two family house. For five years that our Mom was in assisted living my sister lived there and collected rent. The rent paid for all house expenses and any needs that Mom required. My sister had also lived there for the past 25 years. All house expenses during that time was paid for by Mom. When Mom recently passed the house became the estate to be shared by both. Rent is $650 per month equaling $7800 per year. Annual expenses cost $3400. That would provide a share of $325 per month or $3900 per year for each of us. My sister says I should pay for half the house expenses. I believe that because she resides in the house the rent will pay for the annual costs and that I should be entitled to my share of $3900. I believe that my paying half the annual expenses is subsidizing her living there. Can you please provide your opinion on what is the proper resolution to this matter? Thank you very much for any assistance you can offer.
Answer:

It is not possible to provide a very good answer to this question because because it is not very clearly posed and is not specific about the desired remedy. Also, the answer below represents some off-hand views of an economist and, under no...

Question:
When the GDP is calculated for a country, is inflation taken into account? What I mean is, if a country has 2% GDP growth, is that before or after inflation is removed from the equation.Because it seems to me that if a country's GDP grows by 2%, and inflation goes up 2% in that time, they may cancel each other out to actually have neutral growth.
Answer:

The difference is between real and nominal growth. The GDP of a country is the $ value of the goods & services produced by that country in a year. Say, the GDP of a country in 2010 is $100 and that in 2011 is $110. The increase could have...

Question:
My bank wants to reorganize from a mutual savings bank to a mutual holding company. They have sent me a number of promotional items urging me to vote in favor of this reorganization, but I can’t figure out why I would or wouldn’t vote for this. What’s the difference? What are the pros and cons?
Answer:

A mutual savings bank (MSB) is a chartered financial intermediary that operates as an association of individuals who are depositors, also known as members.  MSBs are owned by their depositors, not stockholders, and this means that an MSB’s...

Question:
I have no formal background in economics, not even a college ot high school course, so my question may be simplistic. I am given to understand that bank assets include loans and the value of those loans is one factor in determine the asset holdings of banks. If this is correct, is debt reflected as a net economic positive in the GDP because the banks assets include debt, which is construed as income? By extension, what gets measured in GDP, income from the loan during that year (my payments) or the total value of the loan? Or is it both?
Answer:

GDP is the $ value of the total value of final goods and services produced in a year. That is the income definition. There is an equivalent expenditure definition. Loans are financial assets and all financial assets and liabilities are not...

Question:
I have questions on China soybean import tariff.

1. Because of the tariff on US soybeans, China buy soybeans from other countries. How can other countries increase their production to accommodate this sudden increase of demand? You cannot just grow more soybeans by flipping a switch. Supply and demand suggests there was an equilibrium before. Those buyers who "lose" their orders to China have to find soybeans somewhere else. Does it mean they come back to the US farmers because they are the only producers left in town?

2. China is a big soybean buyer and can move the market. Soybean prices have been fallen since the tariff announcement, factoring in the impact of the tariff. Does it mean it hurts other producers like Brazil? But why there are reports saying Brazilian farmers are happy about increase in export? They don't suddenly produce more to sell at a lower price. According to Business Insider, Brazil is estimated to produce 3.5% more year-to-year. Is it enough to cover the loss in lower prices?

3. What happens to the US unsold China-bound-supposedly soybeans? Are they sold to other nations as mentioned above, or they are left to rot?
Answer:

The policy-driven increase in the import price of U.S. soybeans into China generated a change in relative soybean prices across the globe, making U.S. soybeans relatively more expensive and soybeans of other origins, such as Brazil, relatively...

Question:
I was watching a documentary about microfinance in developing countries. Many of the loans were 20-100 dollars. What would happen if people living in poverty were just given the money, and not expected to pay it back? How would that effect the economy?
Answer:

The need to pay it back would discipline the actions of the borrower, make them choose more worthwhile projects. This would raise efficiency. 

Question:
Where did the money come from, what kind of economies, why did they run out of money?
Thank you
Answer:

Projects like temples and pyramids, as with public monuments today, represent a choice about how labor effort in a society is directed. Some labor is required to produce food, shelter and clothing that are necessities for sustaining life. Beyond...

Question:
My country is currently debating the prospect of banning live exports of sheep to the Middle East, due to the abhorrent conditions that the animals suffer on the journey over there. Our Agriculture Minister has come out and said "We should tighten regulations instead, because if we ban live exports entirely, then these countries will instead import from other countries with lesser regulations, and there will be no overall reduction in animal suffering."

Does his claim hold up? If other countries have enacted similar bans, what happened afterwards?

Context: https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/jun/09/live-export-opponents-should-check-their-moral-compass-minister-says

Cheers!
Answer:

I am not aware of any restrictions on live animal exports centered on animal welfare concerns. Concerns about animal disease outbreaks and food safety have primarily led to trade restrictions on live animals, meat, and animal products. A little...

Question:
In Canada, where I live, there has been much talk lately about the need to build more pipelines to export oil from Alberta. Western Canadian Select (WCS), the benchmark for bitumen from the oil sands, trades at a discounted price compared to higher quality products like West Texas Intermediate (WTI), for example. While the difference in quality accounts for most of the price differential between the two, the rest of the price discount can be explained by export bottlenecks, apparently. Since oil production in Canada exceeds the capacity of existing pipelines to export the oil to refineries in the US, oil producers turn instead to rail companies to export the oil.

1) Why does a transportation bottleneck cause Canadian oil to trade at a discounted price? Is it simply because rail companies have more leverage in this situation, as they have an effective monopsony as a buyer, a.k.a. near-monopoly over transportation? And if that's the case, is the oil sold to the rail company, who is able to negotiate a discounted price at which to purchase the oil from the producer?

I suspect it may have something to do with the fact that rail companies seek to secure long-term contracts with clients, so when oil producers want to use rail services just for the short-term, until new pipelines can be built, rail companies refuse to pay a high price for the commodity being transported (alternatively, rail companies demand a higher fee to transport the commodity). But again, I'm not clear about whether or not rail companies actually purchase the oil and then sell it on to refineries. And if a Canadian rail company does purchase the oil, then the revenue stays in Canada, doesn't it?

2) I have read that rail transport only adds marginal export capacity compared to what's needed, so perhaps the oil producer/rail transaction has a negligible effect on price? If that's true, then I'm really confused.

3) Is it simply just that a transportation bottleneck causes excess oil supply to build up, reducing its market price? But I thought that a bottleneck would equate to less supply, since it can't be exported as quickly, and therefore its market price should rise.
Answer:

Great question!  In general, we don’t need a monopsonistic setting to explain crude differentials between WCS and WTI.  In a competitive market, prices for the same product (oil, corn, etc.) can diverge in different markets for two...

Question:
I recently read a story about China stockpiling commodities.
https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/doud-china-is-stockpiling-world-s-grain-supplies

Mr Doud, the chief agricultural negotiator for the U.S. trade representative, has put out statistics saying that China has been stockpiling large amounts of the world’s residual supplies of grains and other commodities and says that stockpiling these commodities is “depressing prices for every other farmer across the globe,”. But why would stockpiling lead to depressing prices? It would seem to me that taking residual commodities off the market (stockpiling) would have the opposite effect; that it would create greater competition for the remaining supplies, which would lead to higher prices.
Answer:

The impact of stockpiling commodities on prices depends on the timeframe. While the stockpiling is occurring, your reasoning is accurate. The stockpiling is removing supplies from the market, creating more intense competition for the remaining...

Question:
Why do we need inflation? Could market prices just fluctuate according to supply and demand? It seems to me that the only real argument for inflation is that it is means for making the masses work just that little bit harder. By this I mean that companies and governments ensure that inflation rises a little bit more than wages when they want people to work a little bit harder, or to strive for that higher-paying job. In this situation, big businesses (as well as the progression of humanity's wealth) seem to be the only winners (eg. they can increase profits massively if they leave their workers' wages alone, while increasing the cost of their good/service in relation to inflation). Do we need inflation for anything other than this?
Answer:

Inflation is the natural outcome of price changes brought about by market forces and governmental forces. It is the rate of change in the price level that, in a country like the U.S., is entirely determined by market forces and the actions of the...

Question:
Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency notable for facilitating decentralized, peer-to-peer transactions, has caused controversy among some economists for its ability to allow unrestricted capital markets. Given that some countries rely on capital controls to restrict excesses of capital from flowing out of the country, does Bitcoin threaten the stability of these systems, and should it be regulated? Or have capital controls been rendered ineffective in the 21st century globalist economy?
Answer:

Bitcoin itself doesn't affect global financial markets very much now. It has been used with some unlawful activities such as purchasing drug and money laundering. It certainly can be and have been used to violate capital regulation law in some...

Question:
A group of ten people traveling in a bus from station A to Station B. The fare is Rs. 10/person with the total fare Rs. 100. But, the ticket master instead asks the group to pay only Rs. 50 and travel without tickets. He gives the assurance that the checking squad will not charge them for traveling without tickets. Here, the ticket master and checking squad know each other and will distribute the Rs. 50 among themselves, with an ultimate loss of Rs. 100 to state transportation and the people involved in this corruption go unnoticed. How can one prevent this economic loss to the state?
Answer:

You could allow the group to report this to the station master and get a Rs. 25 award. You could randomly check buses unannounced. You could offer a bonus to the ticket master for every ticket he has proof of having sold.

Question:
Two friends go out for breakfast, each ordering eggs, toast and coffee. The total bill is $20.00. They agree to leave a 20% - $4.00 tip for the fast and friendly service. The following week, the same two friends go across the street to a comparable restaurant and again order an eggs, toast and coffee breakfast. This time the total bill is $22.00. When it comes to deciding the tip, one friend suggests that the tip should be the same as last week, 20% - $4.40. The other friend reasons that because the food, the service and the dining experience were essentially the same, the total amount paid, $24.00 should be the same, meaning a $2.00 tip. This friend further reasons that if the restaurant owner is charging 10% more for the same meal, the staff should be compensated accordingly higher. What are your thoughts? When all other factors are essentially equal, should comparative meal costs factor into tip consideration?
Answer:

The writer has already shown that a good argument can be made either way. There is no correct answer the way the question is framed. The friends will debate the question until the restaurant closes. So, let's give them something else to debate...

Question:
CIF or FOB Price per Metric Ton of Yellow Corn No. 2 for Animal consumption
Answer:

The Iowa State University Estimated Livestock Returns (http://www2.econ.iastate.edu/estimated-returns/) provides estimates of cattle finishing and hog production costs and returns. The...

Question:
I just wanted to know if price changes how much quantity is supplied or demanded then what creates the price in the first place? If you say that price affects supply and demand and supply and demand affect price then this just sounds like circular logic to me.
Answer:

First, it is important to understand the difference between a few concepts. The demand is a function that describes that the quantity demanded (consumption) declines as the price increases. That is, the demand is the relationship between the...

Question:
I am a huge Duke Blue Devils fan and the NCAA basketball season has just recently started back up again. Currently, I am taking a microeconomics class and we just started covering oligopolies and cartels along with game theory. It got me thinking about whether or not the NCAA is considered a cartel or if it would be a monopoly. I looked into it and I have seen it referred to as being a cartel but also having monopoly power. Is monopoly power the same as a monopoly? If so, can the NCAA be a monopoly and a cartel?
Answer:

I teach an Economics of Sports class here at Iowa State University.  In my class, we discuss the economic structure of the NCAA and professional sports leagues in the U.S.  You are correct that the NCAA is a cartel and so is a...

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