Swenson, David A.

December 2007

This brief exercise assesses the potential economic impact value of ethanol production comparing current, 2007, estimates with a future level of production for 2016 and a long run equilibrium level (LRE) for 2025. The values for this estimate are driven by current Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) forecasts of corn and ethanol production. All of the estimates assume corn ethanol production only. No other kind of ethanol production is measured nor should be implied. By 2016, nearly 9,000 U.S. jobs will be directly linked to ethanol production, supporting in total nearly 47,200 jobs in the whole economy, given the assumptions in the analysis.

JEL Classification: L60

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