Food Demand Projections Using Full Demand Systems

Goungetas, Basile P.; Jensen, Helen H.; Johnson, Stanley R.

Food Policy Vol. 18 no. 1 (February 1993): 55-63.

Disaggregated food demand projections for developing countries, although essential for improved development planning and effective policy making, are rare. Moreover food demand projection models are usually based on aggregated, national-level data. In this article, under conditions of weak separability and multistage budgeting decisions, a structural model capable fo generating regional-level food demand projections for a disaggregated set of commodities is developed and estimated using data from an Indonesian expenditure survey. Regional food demand projections in Indonesia obtain under a scenario assuming constant real prices are then combines into national-level estimates.