Matchup Report Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home Home court advantage = 0.91 Composite = weighted composite of all subrankings Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered blowout games ignored Standard = all games considered Momentum = average of last 5 games Composite Modified Standard Momentum Date Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor Level Rank ( W- L) Home Matchup Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob 12/23/2008 4A 14 ( 3- 1) Southeast Polk 4A 25 ( 3- 2) Fort Dodge 90.27 -9.11 69% -6.82 64% -4.31 59% -4.31 59% 12/22/2008 4A 4 ( 2- 2) Bettendorf 4A 21 ( 3- 1) Eldridge North Scott 87.13 -9.80 70% -11.46 73% -9.68 70% -9.68 70% 12/22/2008 4A 29 ( 1- 3) Iowa City West 4A 13 ( 4- 1) Pleasant Valley 78.95 31.62 96% 13.56 77% 14.02 78% 14.02 78% 12/22/2008 4A 45 ( 0- 3) Burlington 4A 16 ( 4- 0) Iowa City High 60.81 56.01 100% 28.67 94% 24.05 90% 24.05 90% 12/23/2008 4A 43 ( 0- 6) Newton 4A 8 ( 2- 2) CR Washington 58.35 37.54 98% 32.40 96% 30.72 95% 30.39 95% 12/22/2008 2A 4 ( 4- 1) Unity Christian 3A 4 ( 4- 0) MOC-Floyd Valley 99.61 8.90 69% 0.17 50% 2.85 56% 2.85 56% 12/23/2008 2A 4 ( 4- 1) Unity Christian 3A 8 ( 3- 0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 98.75 5.84 62% -6.33 63% -1.52 53% -1.52 53% 12/22/2008 2A 6 ( 3- 0) Dyersville Beckman 3A 5 ( 2- 2) Mount Vernon 91.06 -8.39 68% 7.53 66% 9.30 69% 9.30 69% 12/22/2008 3A 12 ( 5- 1) Grinnell 3A 7 ( 4- 1) Pella 89.06 4.91 61% 5.31 61% 7.98 67% 7.85 66% 12/23/2008 3A 29 ( 1- 2) Waverly-Shell Rock 3A 40 ( 3- 1) Charles City 83.68 3.24 57% -1.54 53% -1.54 53% -1.54 53% 12/23/2008 3A 35 ( 3- 1) Waukon 3A 16 ( 3- 0) New Hampton 79.71 11.33 73% 8.63 68% 9.32 69% 9.32 69% 12/23/2008 3A 26 ( 2- 3) West Delaware 3A 5 ( 2- 2) Mount Vernon 78.34 15.67 80% 17.54 83% 17.78 83% 17.78 83% 12/22/2008 3A 38 ( 3- 3) Creston 3A 30 ( 5- 1) Denison-Schleswig 71.01 15.18 80% 2.92 56% 14.32 78% 13.64 77% 12/22/2008 2A 1 ( 3- 0) Solon 3A 23 ( 1- 2) Williamsburg 70.09 -38.21 98% -39.87 98% -39.87 98% -39.87 98% 12/22/2008 3A 33 ( 2- 3) Maquoketa 3A 60 ( 1- 3) Anamosa 68.01 -6.19 63% -18.14 84% -11.28 73% -11.28 73% 12/22/2008 3A 58 ( 4- 1) Chariton 3A 51 ( 1- 4) Knoxville 66.56 -8.61 68% 5.54 62% 7.91 67% 7.91 67% 12/23/2008 3A 55 ( 2- 3) Nevada 3A 61 ( 0- 3) Winterset 65.32 -13.00 76% -3.81 58% -1.75 54% -1.75 54% 12/22/2008 2A 73 ( 3- 2) Alburnett 3A 41 ( 0- 4) Center Point-Urbana 60.40 -0.64 51% 16.05 81% 15.11 79% 15.11 79% 12/23/2008 3A 50 ( 0- 5) Decorah 3A 9 ( 3- 0) Oelwein 57.34 40.53 99% 24.00 90% 25.18 91% 25.18 91% 12/23/2008 2A 96 ( 0- 3) North Fayette 3A 20 ( 3- 0) Cresco Crestwood 48.76 47.24 99% 30.92 95% 25.86 92% 25.86 92% 12/23/2008 2A 110 ( 1- 3) Louisa-Muscatine 3A 53 ( 2- 2) Keokuk 46.28 21.73 88% 20.35 87% 17.75 83% 17.75 83% 12/22/2008 2A 83 ( 2- 2) Jesup 3A 3 ( 5- 0) LaPorte City Union 43.46 55.39 100% 47.82 100% 38.87 98% 38.87 98% 12/23/2008 1A 17 ( 2- 4) George-Little Rock 2A 14 ( 3- 3) Sioux Center 76.07 9.94 71% 10.00 71% 7.29 65% 6.24 63% 12/23/2008 2A 36 ( 4- 1) West Liberty 2A 10 ( 4- 0) Stanwood North Cedar 74.16 24.29 91% 11.89 74% 11.46 73% 11.46 73% 12/23/2008 2A 40 ( 5- 0) Earlham 2A 26 ( 3- 1) Des Moines Christian 72.40 -5.45 62% 6.00 63% 9.70 70% 9.70 70% 12/23/2008 2A 29 ( 3- 0) Battle Creek BC-IG 2A 55 ( 5- 1) Lake View East Sac 65.93 -13.83 77% -11.71 74% -11.71 74% -12.33 75% 12/22/2008 1A 28 ( 2- 1) Wapsie Valley 2A 74 ( 1- 2) Denver 65.22 2.18 55% -3.97 59% -4.04 59% -4.04 59% 12/23/2008 2A 32 ( 3- 2) Cascade W Dubuque 2A 56 ( 2- 2) North Linn 65.19 -10.56 72% -9.71 70% -13.01 76% -13.01 76% 12/23/2008 2A 74 ( 1- 2) Denver 2A 102 ( 1- 5) Aplington AP 63.14 -22.62 89% -8.49 68% -2.13 55% -0.75 52% 12/23/2008 3A 49 ( 5- 0) Iowa Falls-Alden 2A 77 ( 0- 5) Eagle Grove 61.59 -35.14 97% -9.91 70% -11.66 74% -11.66 74% 12/23/2008 3A 3 ( 5- 0) LaPorte City Union 2A 46 ( 4- 1) Hudson 59.77 -30.77 95% -33.60 97% -27.39 93% -27.39 93% 12/22/2008 1A 53 ( 2- 2) Postville 2A 58 ( 1- 3) Monona MFL MarMac 59.26 -6.01 63% 7.21 65% 7.97 67% 7.97 67% 12/22/2008 1A 39 ( 1- 3) Ackley AGWSR 2A 81 ( 1- 3) Eldora South Hardin 59.24 4.04 59% -2.82 56% 3.37 57% 3.37 57% 12/22/2008 2A 7 ( 4- 0) West Marshall 2A 66 ( 3- 3) Grundy Center 56.74 -27.91 94% -22.80 89% -21.10 87% -21.75 88% 12/23/2008 1A 32 ( 2- 2) Storm Lake St Mary 2A 11 ( 4- 0) Sioux Central 56.17 22.29 89% 20.95 87% 22.21 89% 22.21 89% 12/22/2008 2A 103 ( 1- 3) Pleasantville 2A 57 ( 1- 3) Truro Interstate-35 56.07 19.33 85% 15.16 79% 10.34 71% 10.34 71% 12/23/2008 2A 107 ( 0- 3) Clarion-Goldfield 2A 92 ( 1- 3) Humboldt 55.16 8.21 67% 7.74 66% 3.49 58% 3.49 58% 12/22/2008 2A 100 ( 1- 1) Central Springs 2A 94 ( 2- 2) Britt West Hancock 54.86 4.06 59% 3.52 58% 6.24 63% 6.24 63% 12/22/2008 2A 106 ( 1- 1) Belmond-Klemme 2A 114 ( 1- 3) Prairie Valley 53.58 -14.70 79% -4.19 59% 2.05 54% 2.05 54% 12/23/2008 2A 67 ( 0- 3) South Hamilton 2A 104 ( 1- 2) Colfax-Mingo 48.65 -2.50 55% -11.99 74% -13.29 76% -13.29 76% 12/22/2008 3A 57 ( 3- 0) Estherville LC 2A 112 ( 1- 5) Lake Mills 45.64 -41.11 99% -17.57 83% -15.82 80% -15.50 80% 12/23/2008 1A 2 ( 3- 2) Boyden-Hull 2A 86 ( 0- 4) Central Lyon 44.87 -42.72 99% -34.24 97% -33.63 97% -33.63 97% 12/22/2008 1A 80 ( 2- 3) Springville 2A 34 ( 3- 2) Maquoketa Valley 41.09 28.25 94% 25.83 92% 27.12 93% 27.12 93% 12/22/2008 2A 109 ( 0- 4) Conrad BCLUW 2A 124 ( 0- 6) East Marshall 35.49 -11.48 73% -10.81 72% -14.62 79% -12.36 75% 12/23/2008 3A 4 ( 4- 0) MOC-Floyd Valley 2A 101 ( 0- 4) Hartley HMS 35.40 -57.24 100% -46.37 99% -45.05 99% -45.05 99% 12/23/2008 1A 39 ( 1- 3) Ackley AGWSR 2A 124 ( 0- 6) East Marshall 33.75 -25.95 92% -24.27 91% -18.12 84% -15.85 81% 12/23/2008 1A 12 ( 5- 0) East Buchanan 2A 126 ( 0- 5) Edgewood-Colesburg 23.30 -61.01 100% -39.98 98% -36.42 98% -36.42 98% 12/22/2008 1A 38 ( 3- 1) Notre Dame 2A 127 ( 0- 3) Mediapolis 16.40 -47.56 100% -32.04 96% -39.58 98% -39.58 98% 12/22/2008 1A 130 ( 1- 2) Mormon Trail 2A 95 ( 3- 1) Leon Central Decatur 4.45 42.60 99% 31.86 96% 38.04 98% 38.04 98% 12/22/2008 2A 37 ( 4- 1) Goose Lake Northeast 1A 20 ( 3- 2) Prince of Peace 74.66 -4.32 59% -2.82 56% -4.37 59% -4.37 59% 12/22/2008 2A 53 ( 1- 2) Northwest Webster 1A 42 ( 2- 2) Southern Cal 68.30 0.06 50% -4.34 59% -2.12 55% -2.12 55% 12/22/2008 2A 49 ( 1- 3) Stuart West Central 1A 5 ( 7- 0) Van Meter 66.83 25.58 92% 14.65 79% 12.23 75% 12.84 76% 12/23/2008 2A 53 ( 1- 2) Northwest Webster 1A 41 ( 1- 4) Newell-Fonda 65.45 -6.14 63% -3.98 59% -4.02 59% -4.02 59% 12/22/2008 2A 78 ( 0- 4) Durant 1A 24 ( 4- 1) Bellevue Marquette 61.60 28.37 94% 11.86 74% 7.70 66% 7.70 66% 12/23/2008 2A 63 ( 1- 3) Inwood West Lyon 1A 1 ( 5- 0) Rock Valley 55.57 48.40 100% 38.74 98% 36.04 97% 36.04 97% 12/23/2008 1A 88 ( 3- 1) Traer North Tama 1A 65 ( 1- 3) Garwin GMG 54.84 -14.57 79% 4.65 60% 3.14 57% 3.14 57% 12/22/2008 1A 18 ( 2- 3) Remsen-Union 1A 61 ( 0- 4) Marcus MMC 54.35 -27.15 93% -16.83 82% -15.69 80% -15.69 80% 12/22/2008 1A 76 ( 3- 2) Dunkerton 1A 37 ( 3- 0) Don Bosco 53.60 5.82 62% 11.89 74% 8.29 67% 8.29 67% 12/22/2008 2A 96 ( 0- 3) North Fayette 1A 14 ( 3- 0) Maynard West Central 52.59 35.77 97% 19.06 85% 18.21 84% 18.21 84% 12/22/2008 1A 25 ( 5- 0) Tripoli 1A 88 ( 3- 1) Traer North Tama 52.19 -23.51 90% -18.77 85% -10.26 71% -10.26 71% 12/23/2008 1A 61 ( 0- 4) Marcus MMC 1A 9 ( 2- 2) Akron-Westfield 51.15 37.86 98% 21.69 88% 20.26 86% 20.26 86% 12/22/2008 1A 83 ( 0- 5) East Greene 1A 43 ( 3- 2) Coon Rapids-Bayard 48.11 26.18 92% 11.42 73% 16.45 81% 16.45 81% 12/22/2008 1A 59 ( 3- 3) Rockwell City-Lytton 1A 4 ( 3- 0) Laurens-Marathon 46.54 33.01 96% 29.17 94% 29.17 94% 28.08 94% 12/23/2008 1A 122 ( 0- 4) Anita CAM 1A 111 ( 1- 5) Exira 40.25 5.03 61% 8.91 69% -0.05 50% 3.27 57% 12/22/2008 2A 71 ( 1- 2) Lawton-Bronson 1A 101 ( 2- 3) Remsen St Mary 39.27 -3.79 58% -19.84 86% -15.02 79% -15.02 79% 12/23/2008 1A 106 ( 5- 0) Orient-Macksburg 1A 74 ( 3- 1) Elk Horn-Kimballton 38.51 1.50 53% 12.37 75% 11.42 73% 11.42 73% 12/23/2008 1A 62 ( 2- 3) Southeast Webster 1A 121 ( 1- 4) Corwith CWL 26.06 -23.30 90% -23.56 90% -22.58 89% -22.58 89% 12/23/2008 1A 129 ( 2- 2) Melcher-Dallas 1A 130 ( 1- 2) Mormon Trail 23.65 -12.36 75% 0.32 51% -1.45 53% -1.45 53% 12/23/2008 1A 125 ( 0- 4) Olin 1A 10 ( 6- 0) Preston 9.93 64.47 100% 47.07 99% 48.84 100% 45.11 99% 12/22/2008 1A 23 ( 3- 2) Woodward Academy 1A 132 ( 3- 2) Diagonal 5.88 -42.37 99% -46.18 99% -45.98 99% -45.98 99% 12/22/2008 1A 138 ( 0- 5) Whiting 1A 35 ( 1- 1) LeMars Gehlen -7.31 38.75 98% 51.05 100% 51.05 100% 51.05 100% 12/22/2008 2A 85 ( 1- 3) Eddyville-Blakesburg 1A 141 ( 0- 4) Moravia -15.20 -41.25 99% -57.91 100% -51.68 100% -51.68 100%