Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home court advantage =    1.55

Composite = weighted composite of all subrankings

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Composite   Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
03/11/2009   4A    9 (17- 6) Sioux City East        4A    3 (20- 3) Bettendorf            101.28    7.03  77%   9.34  83%   8.01  80%  11.16  87%
03/11/2009   4A   15 (18- 5) Johnston               4A    5 (18- 5) Urbandale             100.31    2.73  61%   6.10  74%   5.22  70%   6.96  76%
03/11/2009   4A   11 (16- 8) Cedar Falls            4A    2 (21- 2) Marion Linn-Mar        96.80   11.76  89%  14.29  93%  14.61  93%   3.13  63%
03/11/2009   4A   14 (11-12) Iowa City West         4A    1 (23- 0) Ames                   93.69   21.04  98%  27.47 100%  20.13  98%  16.06  95%
03/10/2009   3A    3 (18- 6) Dubuque Wahlert        3A    2 (22- 2) Norwalk               105.24    3.37  64%   0.89  54%  -1.28  55%  -0.28  51%
03/10/2009   3A   12 (20- 4) Marion                 3A    8 (20- 3) Carroll                94.88    4.20  67%   2.32  59%   1.78  57%   7.50  78%
03/11/2009   3A   15 (19- 5) Van Horne Benton       3A    5 (22- 2) Harlan                 92.28    6.27  74%   7.09  77%   5.50  71%   3.89  66%
03/10/2009   3A   26 (17- 6) New Hampton            3A    1 (22- 2) Sioux City Heelan      73.78   25.58 100%  28.38 100%  27.64 100%  21.42  99%
03/10/2009   2A    6 (20- 3) CB St Albert           2A    5 (25- 0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   95.22    0.88  54%   0.71  53%   2.09  59%   3.12  63%
03/10/2009   2A   17 (23- 2) Sumner SF              2A    3 (24- 1) Pella Christian        81.45   14.85  94%  18.51  97%  17.13  96%  14.07  93%
03/09/2009   2A    7 (24- 1) West Marshall          2A    1 (24- 1) Western Christian      81.38   20.39  98%  27.38 100%  26.87 100%  21.49  99%
03/09/2009   2A   24 (21- 4) Central Lee            2A    2 (25- 0) Solon                  74.57   25.43 100%  27.27 100%  25.34 100%  30.06 100%
03/09/2009   1A    8 (23- 3) Notre Dame             1A    5 (21- 2) Laurens-Marathon       82.51    0.86  54%   0.48  52%  -0.66  53%  -1.44  56%
03/09/2009   1A    2 (19- 4) Cedar Falls NU         1A   11 (25- 0) Adair-Casey            69.47   -6.92  76% -15.49  94% -17.47  96% -11.27  88%
03/09/2009   1A   28 (21- 3) Ventura                1A    4 (24- 1) Iowa Mennonite         65.69   10.35  86%   8.83  82%  13.34  92%  12.47  90%
03/09/2009   1A   20 (21- 3) Villisca               1A    1 (22- 2) Rock Valley            61.33   28.15 100%  33.53 100%  31.21 100%  37.99 100%