Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home court advantage =    1.54

Composite = weighted composite of all subrankings

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Composite   Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
03/13/2009   4A    3 (21- 3) Bettendorf             4A    2 (22- 2) Marion Linn-Mar       110.38    4.77  69%   3.31  63%   5.40  71%   8.34  80%
03/13/2009   4A   14 (19- 5) Johnston               4A    1 (24- 0) Ames                   93.01   18.77  97%  29.30 100%  20.75  98%  24.87  99%
03/12/2009   3A    5 (23- 2) Harlan                 3A    2 (23- 2) Norwalk                97.71    8.38  81%   6.08  73%   6.02  73%  15.23  94%
03/12/2009   3A    8 (21- 3) Carroll                3A    1 (23- 2) Sioux City Heelan      88.89   13.70  92%  17.25  96%  17.54  96%   8.77  82%
03/12/2009   2A    1 (25- 1) Western Christian      2A    2 (26- 0) Solon                 108.43   -3.25  63%  -8.89  82%  -8.43  81%   7.87  79%
03/13/2009   2A    3 (25- 1) Pella Christian        2A    2 (26- 0) Solon                 105.41    3.55  64%   3.04  62%   4.82  69%  16.13  95%
03/12/2009   2A    3 (25- 1) Pella Christian        2A    5 (26- 0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   93.59   -9.43  83% -12.54  90%  -9.49  84%  -3.44  64%
03/13/2009   2A    1 (25- 1) Western Christian      2A    5 (26- 0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   86.96  -16.23  95% -24.48  99% -22.73  99% -11.70  89%
03/13/2009   1A    2 (20- 4) Cedar Falls NU         1A    1 (23- 2) Rock Valley            88.45   13.75  92%  14.60  93%  12.89  91%  15.91  95%
03/13/2009   1A    5 (22- 2) Laurens-Marathon       1A    4 (25- 1) Iowa Mennonite         82.45    1.61  57%   0.30  51%   1.78  57%   0.23  51%
03/12/2009   1A    2 (20- 4) Cedar Falls NU         1A    5 (22- 2) Laurens-Marathon       77.56   -8.08  80% -12.82  91% -11.56  88%  -8.84  82%
03/12/2009   1A    1 (23- 2) Rock Valley            1A    4 (25- 1) Iowa Mennonite         73.78  -20.22  98% -27.12 100% -22.67  99% -24.52  99%