Question: hoover and indianola have identical records (one loss), indianola has the tougher schedule going by these rankings, AND indianola beat hoover head to head......why is hoover #2 and indianola #8?

Computer rankings are based on scoring margin, not W/L.

  R  Team                 Momen   Stren   Off Ave Def Ave  
  2  Des Moines Hoover   125.78  125.67   64.29   42.35  
  7  Indianola           120.50  117.26   61.47   51.26

Computer thinks Indianola was lucky to beat Hoover. Hoover should win about 70% of the head-to-head matchups.

Response: Ahh, i see. Maybe next year there should be more of an emphasis on win-loss record.

I did a model based on W/L last year. The problem is that it is simply not as accurate.

IC West lost to Waterloo East by 1 in semifinals. SC East beat Ankeny by 14 in semifinals. SC East beat Waterloo East by 3 in finals.

ELO Rankings, based on W/L only

  R  Team                             Class    D   W  L  Score  Sched   R
  1  Iowa City West                      4A    6  20  0  94.66  79.82  31
  2  Mason City                          4A    2  19  1  93.98  83.25  10
  3  Marshalltown                        4A    2  17  3  90.77  83.88   6
  4  Ames                                4A    2  14  6  88.56  84.15   4
  5  Des Moines Hoover                   4A    8  15  5  87.74  81.26  21
  6  Ankeny                              4A    7  13  7  87.57  83.66   7
  7  Dubuque Wahlert                     4A    4  16  4  87.26  80.37  26
  8  West Des Moines Dowling             4A    8  14  6  87.16  82.82  11
  9  Waterloo East                       4A    3  16  3  87.11  79.00  40
 10  Urbandale                           4A    8  13  7  86.60  83.61   9
 11  Eldridge North Scott                4A    4  16  4  86.38  80.27  27
 12  Sioux City East                     4A    1  19  1  86.21  74.63  46
 13  Fort Dodge                          4A    2  12  8  85.86  83.63   8
 14  Cedar Rapids Washington             4A    3  17  3  85.57  79.25  37
 15  Indianola                           4A    7  12  8  84.45  82.11  15
 16  Des Moines Lincoln                  4A    8  13  7  84.17  81.59  18
 17  Newton                              4A    2   9 11  83.95  84.85   2
 18  Iowa City High                      4A    6  13  6  83.80  80.46  25
 19  Davenport North                     4A    5  14  6  83.34  79.71  32
 20  Cedar Rapids Prairie                4A    6  13  7  81.89  79.48  33

  R  Team                             Class    D   W  L  Score  Sched   R
  1  Waterloo East                       4A    3  16  3  99.72  76.62  34
  2  Sioux City East                     4A    1  18  1  98.68  80.10  15
  3  Iowa City West                      4A    6  19  0  94.52  78.05  26
  4  Mason City                          4A    2  18  1  93.04  81.25  11
  5  Marshalltown                        4A    2  17  3  90.46  81.86   7
  6  West Des Moines Dowling             4A    8  14  6  88.80  79.80  17
  7  Ankeny                              4A    7  13  7  88.49  81.34   9
  8  Dubuque Wahlert                     4A    4  16  4  88.04  78.84  22
  9  Ames                                4A    2  14  6  86.99  81.49   8
 10  Cedar Rapids Washington             4A    3  17  3  86.40  76.00  40
 11  Des Moines Hoover                   4A    8  14  5  86.20  76.78  33
 12  Fort Dodge                          4A    2  12  7  85.70  80.49  14
 13  Indianola                           4A    7  12  7  85.24  78.56  24
 14  Urbandale                           4A    8  13  7  85.23  81.28  10
 15  Eldridge North Scott                4A    4  16  4  84.50  76.40  36
 16  Des Moines Lincoln                  4A    8  13  7  83.89  77.49  28
 17  Iowa City High                      4A    6  12  6  82.51  79.34  20
 18  Cedar Rapids Prairie                4A    6  12  7  82.04  77.31  29
 19  Burlington                          4A    5  12  7  81.05  75.84  41
 20  Johnston                            4A    7   6 14  80.75  81.95   6