Let me first say this is a standard statistical regression model based on score margins of games played. I do not make any changes to the base model. Thus it is not particularly my model or my predictions. Results and predictions are based solely the data.
1. It has no favorite teams.
2. It does not have to sell newspapers to local fans who love to read about how good their team is.
3. It analyzes all games, not just one team's games.
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>somebody wanna explain sc west being ranked #3 with 7 losses?
http://www.econ.iastate.edu/prosci/moore/iahs/0203basketball/week10/ConferenceReport.txt
MRC is rated as about 7 points tougher than any other 4A conference. SC West has 3 losses to non-IA teams. The Sioux Falls schools that the MRC play are equally tough:
Sioux Falls Lincoln SD 1 2 119.18 117.85 Sioux Falls O'Gorman SD 2 1 125.11 122.45 Sioux Falls Roosevelt SD 2 0 130.63 123.63 Sioux Falls Washington SD 1 1 129.22 122.22
There is substantial objective evidence to conclude that the top 2 teams in the MRC are statewide top 5 teams.
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>i truely hope that is a misprint having SC west as #3, it seems
>like this ranking system has way to much weight on the schedule
>strenth. a team with seven losses over a team with ONE?!?!? thats
>just flat out disgusting. and having PV in front of the musc and
>bett is pretty bad too...north scott should at least be in the top 7.
SC West: see above analysis.
In college football, the 6-6 Big 10 team typically better than the 9-3 MAC team. The analysis believes that the MRC is that good. Remember the 00-01 season? (20-1) Waterloo East went to the state tournament to play (17-6) Indianola. Computer predicted (17-6) Indianola to win by 1 point. Indianola won by 16. In some years it can be statistically infered that one conference is substantially better than another.
MAC standings:
There are 5 teams with 3-4 conference losses in week 10. I have no particular insight on this one.
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