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Table 1. Localizing Grain Prices for Central Ohio and Central Iowa, An Example for 1997.
 

(Hedge)

Central Ohio (Hedge, Buy call)

(Buy Put)

(Hedge)

Central Iowa
(Hedge, Buy Call)

(Buy Put)

Dec. Futures

$2.70

$2.70

$2.70

$2.70

$2.70

$2.70

Average Bases

$0.22

$0.22

$0.22

$0.30

$0.30

$0.30

Marketing Costs

$0.02

$0.03

$0.02

$0.02

$0.03

$0.02

Premiums

----

$0.10

$0.09

-----

$0.10

$0.09

Localized Price (LP)

$2.46

$2.35

$2.37

$2.38

$2.27

$2.29

Localized Price with Basis, One Standard (std.) Deviation Above and Below the Average
LP +1 std. deviation

$2.51

$2.40

$2.42

$2.47

$2.36

$2.38

LP -1 std. deviation

$2.41

$2.30

$2.32

$2.29

$2.18

$2.20